Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.863004 2.123039 2.408445 2.745291 3.132446 3.564032 4.082383
2025-10-19 1.496683 1.839111 2.245785 2.765759 3.414980 4.201477 5.230560
2025-10-26 1.248267 1.633732 2.122872 2.792215 3.689220 4.856642 6.502351
2025-11-02 1.028276 1.419870 1.945653 2.708327 3.794912 5.300160 7.565688
2025-11-09 0.845357 1.222382 1.753894 2.564950 3.783990 5.568080 8.413765
2025-11-16 0.736274 1.109987 1.660642 2.540659 3.929887 6.068688 9.669050
2025-11-23 0.642668 1.005698 1.562246 2.489531 4.019942 6.487337 10.851122
2025-11-30 0.602826 0.977686 1.574679 2.610186 4.394525 7.403577 12.989295
2025-12-07 0.558175 0.935269 1.557093 2.676261 4.683010 8.211032 15.062264
2025-12-14 0.505556 0.872481 1.496952 2.659367 4.820901 8.769256 16.762882
2025-12-21 0.447930 0.793926 1.399860 2.562811 4.798320 9.027385 17.923805
2025-12-28 0.427111 0.778084 1.411115 2.665143 5.160230 10.055837 20.776012
2026-01-04 0.409444 0.766989 1.431515 2.791215 5.593883 11.303645 24.336655
2026-01-11 0.384390 0.739064 1.417038 2.847081 5.894675 12.328392 27.605653
2026-01-18 0.360739 0.711082 1.399038 2.893166 6.181368 13.366342 31.095637
2026-01-25 0.326870 0.658848 1.326663 2.815692 6.189176 13.794162 33.227296
2026-02-01 0.290569 0.597647 1.229067 2.671091 6.025907 13.808328 34.345041
2026-02-08 0.269243 0.565532 1.188806 2.648234 6.139009 14.483439 37.261680
2026-02-15 0.247643 0.530527 1.138508 2.596099 6.175228 14.978137 39.796461
2026-02-22 0.242077 0.530003 1.163647 2.722952 6.665097 16.673459 45.927826
2026-03-01 0.232472 0.519371 1.164832 2.792441 7.021204 18.082308 51.534745
2026-03-08 0.217652 0.495241 1.132368 2.774972 7.150255 18.910929 55.608998
2026-03-15 0.198820 0.459861 1.069835 2.674071 7.044032 19.083214 57.730279